Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction

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  • Publisher : Elsevier
  • Release : 08 December 2020
  • ISBN : 9780128157107
  • Page : 364 pages
  • Rating : 4.5/5 from 103 voters

Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction Book PDF summary

Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction is a comprehensive work on the most current understandings of uncertainties and predictability in numerical simulations of the atmosphere. It provides general knowledge on all aspects of uncertainties in the weather prediction models in a single, easy to use reference. The book illustrates particular uncertainties in observations and data assimilation, as well as the errors associated with numerical integration methods. Stochastic methods in parameterization of subgrid processes are also assessed, as are uncertainties associated with surface-atmosphere exchange, orographic flows and processes in the atmospheric boundary layer. Through a better understanding of the uncertainties to watch for, readers will be able to produce more precise and accurate forecasts. This is an essential work for anyone who wants to improve the accuracy of weather and climate forecasting and interested parties developing tools to enhance the quality of such forecasts. Provides a comprehensive overview of the state of numerical weather prediction at spatial scales, from hundreds of meters, to thousands of kilometers Focuses on short-term 1-15 day atmospheric predictions, with some coverage appropriate for longer-term forecasts Includes references to climate prediction models to allow applications of these techniques for climate simulations

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Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction

Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction
  • Author : Haraldur Olafsson,Jian-Wen Bao
  • Publisher : Elsevier
  • Release Date : 2020-12-08
  • ISBN : 9780128157107
DOWNLOAD BOOKUncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction

Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction is a comprehensive work on the most current understandings of uncertainties and predictability in numerical simulations of the atmosphere. It provides general knowledge on all aspects of uncertainties in the weather prediction models in a single, easy to use reference. The book illustrates particular uncertainties in observations and data assimilation, as well as the errors associated with numerical integration methods. Stochastic methods in parameterization of subgrid processes are also assessed, as are uncertainties associated with

Completing the Forecast

Completing the Forecast
  • Author : National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts
  • Publisher : National Academies Press
  • Release Date : 2006-10-09
  • ISBN : 0309180538
DOWNLOAD BOOKCompleting the Forecast

Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees

Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction

Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction
  • Author : Thomas Tomkins Warner
  • Publisher : Cambridge University Press
  • Release Date : 2010-12-02
  • ISBN : 0521513898
DOWNLOAD BOOKNumerical Weather and Climate Prediction

This textbook provides a comprehensive yet accessible treatment of weather and climate prediction, for graduate students, researchers and professionals. It teaches the strengths, weaknesses and best practices for the use of atmospheric models. It is ideal for the many scientists who use such models across a wide variety of applications. The book describes the different numerical methods, data assimilation, ensemble methods, predictability, land-surface modeling, climate modeling and downscaling, computational fluid-dynamics models, experimental designs in model-based research, verification methods, operational prediction,

Operational Weather Forecasting

Operational Weather Forecasting
  • Author : Peter Michael Inness,Steve Dorling
  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release Date : 2012-12-06
  • ISBN : 9781118447635
DOWNLOAD BOOKOperational Weather Forecasting

This book offers a complete primer, covering the end-to-endprocess of forecast production, and bringing together a descriptionof all the relevant aspects together in a single volume; withplenty of explanation of some of the more complex issues andexamples of current, state-of-the-art practices. Operational Weather Forecasting covers the whole processof forecast production, from understanding the nature of theforecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which toinitialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (ormodels) to advance those initial conditions forwards in

Meteorology at the Millennium

Meteorology at the Millennium
  • Author : Robert P. Pearce
  • Publisher : Elsevier
  • Release Date : 2005-02-22
  • ISBN : 9780080511498
DOWNLOAD BOOKMeteorology at the Millennium

Meteorology at the Millennium details recent advances in meteorology and explores its interfaces with science, technology, and society. Ways in which modern meteorology is contributing to the developments in other sciences are described, as well as how atmospheric scientists are learning from colleagues in related disciplines. Meteorology at the Millennium will serve as a point of reference for students and researchers of meteorology and climatology for many years to come. The areas covered include weather prediction at the millennium, climate

Mathematical Problems in Meteorological Modelling

Mathematical Problems in Meteorological Modelling
  • Author : András Bátkai,Petra Csomós,István Faragó,András Horányi,Gabriella Szépszó
  • Publisher : Springer
  • Release Date : 2016-11-08
  • ISBN : 9783319401577
DOWNLOAD BOOKMathematical Problems in Meteorological Modelling

This book deals with mathematical problems arising in the context of meteorological modelling. It gathers and presents some of the most interesting and important issues from the interaction of mathematics and meteorology. It is unique in that it features contributions on topics like data assimilation, ensemble prediction, numerical methods, and transport modelling, from both mathematical and meteorological perspectives. The derivation and solution of all kinds of numerical prediction models require the application of results from various mathematical fields. The present

Air Traffic Management and Systems III

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  • Author : Electronic Navigation Research Institute
  • Publisher : Springer
  • Release Date : 2019-06-21
  • ISBN : 9789811370861
DOWNLOAD BOOKAir Traffic Management and Systems III

This proceedings provides novel concepts and techniques for air traffic management (ATM) and communications, navigation, and surveillance (CNS) systems. The volume consists of selected papers from the 5th ENRI International Workshop on ATM/CNS (EIWAC2017) held in Tokyo in November 2017, the theme of which was “Drafting Future Skies”. Included are key topics to realize safer and more efficient skies in the future, linked to the integrated conference theme consisting of long-term visions based on presentations from various fields. The proceedings

Monthly Weather Review

Monthly Weather Review
  • Author : Anonim
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 1999
  • ISBN : PSU:000047384538
DOWNLOAD BOOKMonthly Weather Review

Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment

Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment
  • Author : Karin Riley,Peter Webley,Matthew Thompson
  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release Date : 2016-11-15
  • ISBN : 9781119028109
DOWNLOAD BOOKNatural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment

Uncertainties are pervasive in natural hazards, and it is crucial to develop robust and meaningful approaches to characterize and communicate uncertainties to inform modeling efforts. In this monograph we provide a broad, cross-disciplinary overview of issues relating to uncertainties faced in natural hazard and risk assessment. We introduce some basic tenets of uncertainty analysis, discuss issues related to communication and decision support, and offer numerous examples of analyses and modeling approaches that vary by context and scope. Contributors include scientists

Advances in Hydroinformatics

Advances in Hydroinformatics
  • Author : Philippe Gourbesville,Jean Cunge,Guy Caignaert
  • Publisher : Springer
  • Release Date : 2018-02-26
  • ISBN : 9789811072185
DOWNLOAD BOOKAdvances in Hydroinformatics

This book gathers a collection of extended papers based on presentations given during the SimHydro 2017 conference, held in Sophia Antipolis, Nice, France on June 14–16, 2017. It focuses on how to choose the right model in applied hydraulics and considers various aspects, including the modeling and simulation of fast hydraulic transients, 3D modeling, uncertainties and multiphase flows. The book explores both limitations and performance of current models and presents the latest developments in new numerical schemes, high-performance computing, multiphysics and multiscale methods,

Predictability of Weather and Climate

Predictability of Weather and Climate
  • Author : Tim Palmer,Renate Hagedorn
  • Publisher : Cambridge University Press
  • Release Date : 2006-07-27
  • ISBN : 9781139458207
DOWNLOAD BOOKPredictability of Weather and Climate

The topic of predictability in weather and climate has advanced significantly in recent years, both in understanding the phenomena that affect weather and climate and in techniques used to model and forecast them. This book, first published in 2006, brings together some of the world's leading experts on predicting weather and climate. It addresses predictability from the theoretical to the practical, on timescales from days to decades. Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean-atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate

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Diagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems
  • Author : Julia Henriette Keller
  • Publisher : KIT Scientific Publishing
  • Release Date : 2012
  • ISBN : 9783866449848
DOWNLOAD BOOKDiagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems

Fundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction

Fundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction
  • Author : Jean Coiffier
  • Publisher : Cambridge University Press
  • Release Date : 2011-12-01
  • ISBN : 9781139502702
DOWNLOAD BOOKFundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction

Numerical models have become essential tools in environmental science, particularly in weather forecasting and climate prediction. This book provides a comprehensive overview of the techniques used in these fields, with emphasis on the design of the most recent numerical models of the atmosphere. It presents a short history of numerical weather prediction and its evolution, before describing the various model equations and how to solve them numerically. It outlines the main elements of a meteorological forecast suite, and the theory

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  • Author : Saeid Eslamian,Faezeh Eslamian
  • Publisher : CRC Press
  • Release Date : 2022-04-11
  • ISBN : 9780429874123
DOWNLOAD BOOKFlood Handbook

Floods are difficult to prevent but can be managed in order to reduce their environmental, social, cultural, and economic impacts. Flooding poses a serious threat to life and property, and therefore it’s very important that flood risks be taken into account during any planning process. This handbook presents different aspects of flooding in the context of a changing climate and across various geographical locations. Written by experts from around the world, it examines flooding in various climates and landscapes,

Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling

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  • Author : José Eduardo Souza De Cursi
  • Publisher : Springer Nature
  • Release Date : 2020-08-19
  • ISBN : 9783030536695
DOWNLOAD BOOKProceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling

This proceedings book discusses state-of-the-art research on uncertainty quantification in mechanical engineering, including statistical data concerning the entries and parameters of a system to produce statistical data on the outputs of the system. It is based on papers presented at Uncertainties 2020, a workshop organized on behalf of the Scientific Committee on Uncertainty in Mechanics (Mécanique et Incertain) of the AFM (French Society of Mechanical Sciences), the Scientific Committee on Stochastic Modeling and Uncertainty Quantification of the ABCM (Brazilian Society