Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

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  • Publisher : Elsevier
  • Release : 17 May 2018
  • ISBN : 9780128122488
  • Page : 362 pages
  • Rating : 4.5/5 from 103 voters

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts Book PDF summary

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After an introductory section on ensemble forecasts and prediction systems, the second section of the book is devoted to exposition of the methods available for statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts: univariate and multivariate ensemble postprocessing are first reviewed by Wilks (Chapters 3), then Schefzik and Möller (Chapter 4), and the more specialized perspective necessary for postprocessing forecasts for extremes is presented by Friederichs, Wahl, and Buschow (Chapter 5). The second section concludes with a discussion of forecast verification methods devised specifically for evaluation of ensemble forecasts (Chapter 6 by Thorarinsdottir and Schuhen). The third section of this book is devoted to applications of ensemble postprocessing. Practical aspects of ensemble postprocessing are first detailed in Chapter 7 (Hamill), including an extended and illustrative case study. Chapters 8 (Hemri), 9 (Pinson and Messner), and 10 (Van Schaeybroeck and Vannitsem) discuss ensemble postprocessing specifically for hydrological applications, postprocessing in support of renewable energy applications, and postprocessing of long-range forecasts from months to decades. Finally, Chapter 11 (Messner) provides a guide to the ensemble-postprocessing software available in the R programming language, which should greatly help readers implement many of the ideas presented in this book. Edited by three experts with strong and complementary expertise in statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, this book assesses the new and rapidly developing field of ensemble forecast postprocessing as an extension of the use of statistical corrections to traditional deterministic forecasts. Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts is an essential resource for researchers, operational practitioners, and students in weather, seasonal, and climate forecasting, as well as users of such forecasts in fields involving renewable energy, conventional energy, hydrology, environmental engineering, and agriculture. Consolidates, for the first time, the methodologies and applications of ensemble forecasts in one succinct place Provides real-world examples of methods used to formulate forecasts Presents the tools needed to make the best use of multiple model forecasts in a timely and efficient manner

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Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts
  • Author : Stéphane Vannitsem,Daniel S. Wilks,Jakob Messner
  • Publisher : Elsevier
  • Release Date : 2018-05-17
  • ISBN : 9780128122488
DOWNLOAD BOOKStatistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After an introductory section on ensemble forecasts and prediction systems, the second section of the book is devoted to exposition of the methods available for statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts: univariate

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts
  • Author : Stéphane Vannitsem,Jakob Messner,Daniel S. Wilks
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 2018-06
  • ISBN : 0128123729
DOWNLOAD BOOKStatistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together contributed chapters by international subject-matter experts, describing the current state-of-the-art in statistical post-processing of ensemble forecasts and illustrating the use of these methods in several important applications, including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. Edited by three experts with strong and complementary expertise in statistical post-processing of ensemble forecasts, this book assesses the new and rapidly developing field of ensemble forecasts as an extension of the use of statistical corrections

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences
  • Author : Daniel S. Wilks
  • Publisher : Academic Press
  • Release Date : 2011-07-04
  • ISBN : 9780123850232
DOWNLOAD BOOKStatistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Third Edition, explains the latest statistical methods used to describe, analyze, test, and forecast atmospheric data. This revised and expanded text is intended to help students understand and communicate what their data sets have to say, or to make sense of the scientific literature in meteorology, climatology, and related disciplines. In this new edition, what was a single chapter on multivariate statistics has been expanded to a full six chapters on this important topic.

Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting

Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting
  • Author : Qingyun Duan,Florian Pappenberger,Jutta Thielen,Hannah L. Cloke,John Schaake
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 2022-08-12
  • ISBN : 364240457X
DOWNLOAD BOOKHandbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting

" . . . This handbook offers unrivalled coverage of today's cutting-edge techniques in flood and weather prediction. The ensemble technique, which generates multiple forecasts from differing initial parameters, is a high-profile research target with the potential to enhance the accuracy of forecasting and reduce the loss of life and damage to property caused by riverine floods, violent weather systems, and longer-term weather problems such as droughts" -- publisher.

Advanced Statistical Post-processing of Ensemble Weather Forecasts

Advanced Statistical Post-processing of Ensemble Weather Forecasts
  • Author : S. Allen
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 2021
  • ISBN : OCLC:1259537849
DOWNLOAD BOOKAdvanced Statistical Post-processing of Ensemble Weather Forecasts

Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability

Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability
  • Author : Eugenia Kalnay,Kalnay Eugenia
  • Publisher : Cambridge University Press
  • Release Date : 2003
  • ISBN : 0521796296
DOWNLOAD BOOKAtmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability

This book, first published in 2002, is a graduate-level text on numerical weather prediction, including atmospheric modeling, data assimilation and predictability.

Hydraulic and Civil Engineering Technology VI

Hydraulic and Civil Engineering Technology VI
  • Author : M. Yang,J.C.G. Lanzinha,X. Bao
  • Publisher : IOS Press
  • Release Date : 2021-11-09
  • ISBN : 9781643682358
DOWNLOAD BOOKHydraulic and Civil Engineering Technology VI

New technologies, such as improved testing and physical modeling methods, together with numerical studies and other novel techniques, have led to many developments in the fields of hydraulic and civil engineering in recent years. This book presents proceedings from HCET 2021, the 6th International Technical Conference on Frontiers of Hydraulic and Civil Engineering Technology, held in Sanya, China, on 28 and 29 August 2021. The conference highlighted the latest advances, innovations and applications in the fields of hydraulic and civil engineering, and served as

Statistical Methods for Post-processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts

Statistical Methods for Post-processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts
  • Author : Robin Mark Williams
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 2016
  • ISBN : OCLC:1063575649
DOWNLOAD BOOKStatistical Methods for Post-processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts

Renewable Energy Forecasting

Renewable Energy Forecasting
  • Author : Georges Kariniotakis
  • Publisher : Woodhead Publishing
  • Release Date : 2017-09-29
  • ISBN : 9780081005057
DOWNLOAD BOOKRenewable Energy Forecasting

Renewable Energy Forecasting: From Models to Applications provides an overview of the state-of-the-art of renewable energy forecasting technology and its applications. After an introduction to the principles of meteorology and renewable energy generation, groups of chapters address forecasting models, very short-term forecasting, forecasting of extremes, and longer term forecasting. The final part of the book focuses on important applications of forecasting for power system management and in energy markets. Due to shrinking fossil fuel reserves and concerns about climate change,

Next Generation Earth System Prediction

Next Generation Earth System Prediction
  • Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Ocean Studies Board,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Committee on Developing a U.S. Research Agenda to Advance Subseasonal to Seasonal Forecasting
  • Publisher : National Academies Press
  • Release Date : 2016-08-22
  • ISBN : 9780309388801
DOWNLOAD BOOKNext Generation Earth System Prediction

As the nation's economic activities, security concerns, and stewardship of natural resources become increasingly complex and globally interrelated, they become ever more sensitive to adverse impacts from weather, climate, and other natural phenomena. For several decades, forecasts with lead times of a few days for weather and other environmental phenomena have yielded valuable information to improve decision-making across all sectors of society. Developing the capability to forecast environmental conditions and disruptive events several weeks and months in advance could dramatically

Practical Meteorology

Practical Meteorology
  • Author : Roland Stull
  • Publisher : Sundog Publishing, LLC
  • Release Date : 2018
  • ISBN : 0888652836
DOWNLOAD BOOKPractical Meteorology

A quantitative introduction to atmospheric science for students and professionals who want to understand and apply basic meteorological concepts but who are not ready for calculus.

Climate Change and Regional/Local Responses

Climate Change and Regional/Local Responses
  • Author : Pallav Ray,Yuanzhi Zhang
  • Publisher : BoD – Books on Demand
  • Release Date : 2013-05-22
  • ISBN : 9789535111320
DOWNLOAD BOOKClimate Change and Regional/Local Responses

Understanding climate change requires analysis of its effects in specific contexts, and the case studies in this volume offer examples of such issues. Its chapters cover tropical cyclones in East Asia, study of a fossil in Brazils Araripe Basin and the fractal nature of band-thickness in an iron formation of Canadas Northwest Territories. One chapter examines the presence of trace elements and palynomorphs in the sediments of a tropical urban pond. Examples of technologies used include RS- GIS to map

Completing the Forecast

Completing the Forecast
  • Author : National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts
  • Publisher : National Academies Press
  • Release Date : 2006-10-09
  • ISBN : 0309180538
DOWNLOAD BOOKCompleting the Forecast

Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees

Forecast Verification

Forecast Verification
  • Author : Ian T. Jolliffe,David B. Stephenson
  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release Date : 2003-08-01
  • ISBN : 9780470864418
DOWNLOAD BOOKForecast Verification

This handy reference introduces the subject of forecast verification and provides a review of the basic concepts, discussing different types of data that may be forecast. Each chapter covers a different type of predicted quantity (predictand), then looks at some of the relationships between economic value and skill scores, before moving on to review the key concepts and summarise aspects of forecast verification that receive the most attention in other disciplines. The book concludes with a discussion on the most

Practical Time Series Analysis

Practical Time Series Analysis
  • Author : Aileen Nielsen
  • Publisher : O'Reilly Media
  • Release Date : 2019-09-20
  • ISBN : 9781492041627
DOWNLOAD BOOKPractical Time Series Analysis

Time series data analysis is increasingly important due to the massive production of such data through the internet of things, the digitalization of healthcare, and the rise of smart cities. As continuous monitoring and data collection become more common, the need for competent time series analysis with both statistical and machine learning techniques will increase. Covering innovations in time series data analysis and use cases from the real world, this practical guide will help you solve the most common data